{"id":674,"date":"2023-01-08T23:05:04","date_gmt":"2023-01-08T15:05:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/site.uugo.cf\/?p=674"},"modified":"2023-01-08T23:05:41","modified_gmt":"2023-01-08T15:05:41","slug":"20230108-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/site.uugo.cf\/?p=674","title":{"rendered":"20230108\u56fe\u7247\u89e3\u8bfb"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

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\u6211\u8bfb\u4e86\u4ed6\u63a8\u8350\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u201c8 Great Sci-Fi Authors Who Attempted to Predict The Future\u201d\uff088\u4f4d\u8bd5\u56fe\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4f1f\u5927\u79d1\u5e7b\u4f5c\u5bb6\uff09\u548c\u6587\u7ae0\u63d0\u5230\u7684Telectroscope\uff08\u5927\u6982\u53ef\u76f4\u8bd1\u4e3a\u201c\u8fdc\u7535\u955c\u201d\uff09\u7684\u7ef4\u57fa\u9875\u3002\u603b\u7ed3\u4e86\u4e00\u4e0b\u6211\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\uff1a

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\u9644\uff1a\u4e0eLibraryThing\u7684\u5bf9\u8bdd\uff1a

Me: Can we name any science fiction writer that predicted the birth of the Internet? I can’t think of any.

LibraryThing: In addition to Asimov, I understand this claim has been made of George Orwell, and this article (link) claims Mark Twain as well.

Me: Thanks for your research. I just read the article, and also en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Telectroscope I think we have to define the basic elements of the Internet first. It’s a network of many servers, each accessed by many clients as well as other servers. (No need to require client-to-server data transfer as that did not happen when the real Internet was born anyway.) What these sci-fi writers thought of are improved versions of telephones (point to point) or televisions (one point to many points). The former is not like the Internet at all. The latter is closer but its mechanism is broadcast, so a client can’t access specific content at an arbitrary time, and one “server” (i.e. TV station) does not communicate with another “server”. It’s fine for the sci-fi writers at the time to not use terms of modern technology, data, server, client, communication, etc. But the scenarios they descibed are enough for us to judge whether they actually predicted what we later call the Internet.


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22. \u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u8bc1\u636e\u5426\u8ba4\u4e00\u4e2a\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u6700\u597d\u59d1\u4e14\u76f8\u4fe1\u5b83\u3002

23. \u51e0\u767e\u5c81\u7684\u91ce\u751f\u4eba\u53c2\u548c\u7075\u829d\u5177\u6709\u6781\u9ad8\u7684\u836f\u7528\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u80fd\u7528\u6765\u633d\u6551\u6fd2\u6b7b\u7684\u75c5\u4eba

24. \u9c7c\u7684\u8bb0\u5fc6\u53ea\u6709\u4e03\u79d2\u3002

25. \u53cd\u5b63\u8282\u6c34\u679c\u5728\u79cd\u690d\u65f6\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u6fc0\u7d20\uff0c\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u513f\u7ae5\u6027\u65e9\u719f\u3002

26. \u9f99\u548c\u51e4\u51f0\u90fd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5df2\u7ecf\u706d\u7edd\u7684\u7269\u79cd\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u53e4\u4eba\u89c1\u8fc7\u5b83\u4eec\u3002

27. \u79d1\u5b66\u662f\u4e00\u628a\u53cc\u5203\u5251\uff0c\u5b83\u8ba9\u751f\u6d3b\u66f4\u52a0\u65b9\u4fbf\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e5f\u8ba9\u73b0\u4ee3\u4eba\u7684\u8eab\u4f53\u66f4\u4e0d\u5065\u5eb7\u4e86\u3002

28. \u6709\u7684\u4e0d\u6cd5\u5206\u5b50\u4f1a\u5728\u9152\u5e97\u8ff7\u6655\u53d7\u5bb3\u8005\uff0c\u628a\u4ed6\u7684\u80be\u5272\u4e0b\u6765\u62ff\u53bb\u9ed1\u5e02\u4e0a\u5356\u3002

29. \u53e4\u4eba\u638c\u63e1\u7740\u8bb8\u591a\u73b0\u4ee3\u79d1\u6280\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u7cbe\u5bc6\u5de5\u827a\uff0c\u53ea\u53ef\u60dc\u5931\u4f20\u4e86\u3002

30. \u5fae\u6ce2\u7089\u901a\u8fc7\u8f90\u5c04\u52a0\u70ed\u98df\u7269\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u5728\u5fae\u6ce2\u7089\u5de5\u4f5c\u65f6\u5c3d\u91cf\u8fdc\u79bb\u5b83\u3002

31. \u5373\u4fbf\u4e0d\u8003\u8651\u7269\u8d28\u548c\u4eba\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u4e0a\u7684\u5956\u52b1\u548c\u60e9\u7f5a\uff0c\u505a\u597d\u4e8b\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u6539\u5584\u8fd0\u6c14\uff0c\u505a\u574f\u4e8b\u4ecd\u7136\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u5384\u8fd0\u3002

32. \u79d1\u5b66\u603b\u6709\u89e3\u91ca\u4e0d\u4e86\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5ba2\u89c2\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u59a8\u901a\u8fc7\u5b97\u6559\u3001\u5deb\u672f\u3001\u51a5\u60f3\u7b49\u53e4\u8001\u9014\u5f84\u5bfb\u6c42\u542f\u793a\u3002

33. \u6027\u4ea4\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7cbe\u5b50\u4f1a\u8fdb\u5165\u5973\u6027\u4f53\u5185\uff0c\u88ab\u5979\u7684\u751f\u6b96\u7cfb\u7edf\u5438\u6536\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u628a\u57fa\u56e0\u6df7\u5165\u4e86\u5979\u7684\u751f\u6b96\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u5973\u6027\u6000\u5b55\uff0c\u4e4b\u524d\u4e0e\u4ed6\u6027\u4ea4\u8fc7\u7684\u7537\u5b50\u7684\u57fa\u56e0\u90fd\u4f1a\u878d\u5165\u80ce\u513f\uff0c\u8fd9\u8ba9\u67d0\u4e9b\u5b69\u5b50\u4e0d\u50cf\u7238\u7238\uff0c\u5374\u50cf\u5988\u5988\u7684\u524d\u4efb\uff0c\u8fd9\u5728\u751f\u7269\u5b66\u4e0a\u53eb\u505a\u201c\u5148\u7236\u9057\u4f20\u201d\u3002

34. \u4e0d\u542b\u98df\u54c1\u6dfb\u52a0\u5242\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u66f4\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u66f4\u5065\u5eb7\u3002

35. \u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u771f\u6b63\u61c2\u5f97\u91cf\u5b50\u529b\u5b66\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u91cf\u5b50\u529b\u5b66\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e0e\u610f\u8bc6\u6709\u5173\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u4e86\u552f\u5fc3\u4e3b\u4e49\u672a\u5fc5\u662f\u9519\u7684\u3002

36. \u5b97\u6559\u90fd\u662f\u6559\u4eba\u5411\u5584\u7684\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4f20\u64ad\u5b97\u6559\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba9\u793e\u4f1a\u53d8\u597d\u3002

37. \u65b0\u51a0\u75c5\u6bd2\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u53d1\u660e\u7684\u751f\u7269\u6b66\u5668\u3002

38. \u57fa\u56e0\u7a81\u53d8\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba9\u4eba\u83b7\u5f97\u8d85\u80fd\u529b\u3002

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40. \u897f\u65b9\u5386\u53f2\u662f\u4f2a\u9020\u7684\uff0c\u53e4\u57c3\u53ca\u548c\u53e4\u5e0c\u814a\u7684\u5efa\u7b51\u548c\u6587\u7269\u90fd\u662f\u73b0\u4ee3\u6b27\u6d32\u4eba\u505a\u7684\u8d5d\u54c1\uff0c\u53e4\u5e0c\u814a\u7684\u54f2\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e5f\u90fd\u662f\u73b0\u4ee3\u6b27\u6d32\u4eba\u675c\u64b0\u7684\u3002

41. \u57c3\u53ca\u4eba\u7684\u6280\u672f\u6c34\u5e73\u9020\u4e0d\u51fa\u91d1\u5b57\u5854\uff0c\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u529b\u91cf\u5e2e\u52a9\u8fc7\u4ed6\u4eec\u3002

42. \u4e2d\u56fd\u529f\u592b\u975e\u5e38\u5389\u5bb3\uff0c\u808c\u8089\u529b\u91cf\u4e0d\u5360\u4f18\u52bf\u7684\u6b66\u672f\u5bb6\u53ef\u4ee5\u8f7b\u677e\u6253\u8d25\u53ea\u4f1a\u86ee\u529b\u7684\u640f\u51fb\u8fd0\u52a8\u5458\uff0c\u53ea\u53ef\u60dc\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u4e2d\u56fd\u529f\u592b\u90fd\u5931\u4f20\u4e86\u3002

43. \u300a\u5c71\u6d77\u7ecf\u300b\u662f\u4e00\u4efd\u4e0a\u53e4\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u5730\u56fe\uff0c\u6db5\u76d6\u4e86\u975e\u6d32\u548c\u7f8e\u6d32\u7684\u5c71\u6c34\u7269\u8c8c\u3002

44. \u6709\u4e9b\u4e0d\u6cd5\u5546\u8d29\u4f1a\u7528\u4eba\u9020\u9e21\u86cb\u5192\u5145\u771f\u9e21\u86cb\u3002

45. \u300a\u6613\u7ecf\u300b\u53ef\u4ee5\u6307\u5bfc\u5b9e\u8df5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u53d1\u6398\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u667a\u6167\u3002

46. \u864e\u9aa8\u53ef\u4ee5\u8865\u80be\u58ee\u9633\uff0c\u71d5\u7a9d\u53ef\u4ee5\u6ecb\u9634\u6da6\u80ba\u3002

47. \u5b55\u5987\u9700\u8981\u989d\u5916\u7684\u9632\u8f90\u5c04\u8bbe\u5907\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5c3d\u91cf\u907f\u514d\u89e3\u9664\u5fae\u6ce2\u7089\u548cWiFi\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002

48. \u4e00\u4e9b\u53e4\u8001\u7684\u8457\u4f5c\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u300a\u63a8\u80cc\u56fe\u300b\u3001\u300a\u7487\u7391\u56fe\u300b\u3001\u300a\u5723\u7ecf\u00b7\u542f\u793a\u5f55\u300b\u3001\u300a\u8bfa\u67e5\u4e39\u739b\u65af\u9884\u8a00\u300b\uff0c\u6697\u85cf\u4e86\u4eba\u7c7b\u672a\u6765\u7684\u547d\u8fd0\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5f88\u96be\u89e3\u8bfb\u51fa\u6765\u3002

49. \u739b\u96c5\u4eba\u9884\u8a00\u8fc7\u4e16\u754c\u672b\u65e5\u3002\u739b\u96c5\u4eba\u9884\u8a00\u8fc7\u4e16\u754c\u672b\u65e5\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u6ca1\u6709\u57282012\u5e74\u5e94\u9a8c\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u7b97\u5bf9\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u672b\u65e5\u4ecd\u5728\u4e0d\u8fdc\u7684\u672a\u6765\u5a01\u80c1\u7740\u4eba\u7c7b\u3002

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\u30108\u3011@t0mbkeeper

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